Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.049275 0.057460 0.066453 0.077047 0.089169 0.102587 0.118544
2025-05-04 0.036431 0.046977 0.059636 0.075877 0.096083 0.120307 0.151456
2025-05-11 0.028254 0.039827 0.054841 0.075580 0.103291 0.138822 0.187571
2025-05-18 0.021940 0.033542 0.049690 0.073516 0.107422 0.153515 0.220391
2025-05-25 0.017533 0.028871 0.045690 0.072017 0.111633 0.168327 0.254683
2025-06-01 0.014688 0.025873 0.043446 0.072446 0.118291 0.186917 0.295955
2025-06-08 0.012029 0.022606 0.040162 0.070615 0.121036 0.199728 0.329725
2025-06-15 0.010865 0.021607 0.040304 0.074162 0.132478 0.226768 0.387725
2025-06-22 0.009352 0.019680 0.038529 0.074141 0.137894 0.244587 0.432580
2025-06-29 0.007852 0.017480 0.035893 0.072159 0.139574 0.256215 0.468103
2025-07-06 0.006740 0.015829 0.033995 0.071198 0.142822 0.270618 0.509380
2025-07-13 0.006296 0.015485 0.034560 0.074945 0.155035 0.301693 0.582217
2025-07-20 0.005770 0.014888 0.034573 0.077699 0.165860 0.331610 0.656301
2025-07-27 0.004911 0.013362 0.032412 0.075733 0.167261 0.344316 0.700157
2025-08-03 0.004279 0.012248 0.030961 0.075045 0.171107 0.361940 0.754712
2025-08-10 0.003638 0.010973 0.028936 0.072802 0.171428 0.372672 0.796880
2025-08-17 0.003134 0.009945 0.027316 0.071222 0.172926 0.385788 0.844721
2025-08-24 0.002805 0.009326 0.026586 0.071598 0.178714 0.408084 0.912699
2025-08-31 0.002415 0.008441 0.025033 0.069763 0.179275 0.419457 0.959131
2025-09-07 0.002302 0.008369 0.025597 0.073259 0.192545 0.459047 1.067662
2025-09-14 0.002060 0.007835 0.024825 0.073231 0.197442 0.480796 1.139831
2025-09-21 0.001780 0.007110 0.023395 0.071269 0.197402 0.491545 1.188943
2025-09-28 0.001570 0.006567 0.022395 0.070317 0.199749 0.507855 1.251536